In today's fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, companies must build flexible and responsive supply chains to meet market challenges. By leveraging digital transformation, implementing sustainable practices, and enhancing consumer engagement, businesses can optimize logistics, improve efficiency, ensure timely delivery, and strengthen their competitive position in the market.
As the issue of overcapacity in sea freight becomes more severe, shippers are turning to air freight to meet market demands. The backlog of cargo and slow sailing strategies implemented by shipping companies have sparked concern and anxiety among shippers. A report from UPS indicates a significant increase in international parcel volume and cargo revenue, prompting shippers to adopt more flexible logistics strategies to tackle peak season challenges.
Vale predicts that global seaborne iron ore demand will reach 1.35 to 1.4 billion tons this year, as future new supply is limited, with prices expected around $50 per ton. Recently, due to declining steel demand in China, spot iron ore prices have fallen below $40, reaching a ten-year low. Despite pressure on global iron ore supply, increasing demand outside of China may offset this. Additionally, the reduction in new supply is one of the key factors.
The air cargo market faces significant challenges due to weak demand and declining external demand impacting overall growth. However, the rise of cross-border e-commerce brings new driving forces to the industry. In the future, innovative policies and facility optimization will be necessary to adapt to market changes.
The 2023 air cargo peak season is facing weak rebound, with shippers placing orders early indicating a slowdown in demand and freight rates not rising as expected. Although some airlines benefit from e-commerce demand, the overall cargo market remains complex and volatile, with future growth constrained by a slowdown in manufacturing and various supply chain issues.
In Q1 2025, the freight market appears stable on the surface but is hiding underlying uncertainties, with weak demand and limited supply. Although short-term demand has risen, the ongoing decline reflects shippers' lack of confidence in the market. The overall industry is in a state of adjustment but is facing greater tension, making flexible operational models increasingly important.
The global container shortage is severe, leading to a significant increase in demand for owned containers among shippers, while the number of freight forwarders able to provide this service remains limited. The report analyzes that using owned containers can effectively reduce logistics costs and minimize detention fees, urging freight forwarders to enhance the utilization of Shipper Owned Containers (SOC) to address market challenges.
In October 2023, China's warehousing index reached 52.8%, marking a three-month high and reflecting the healthy growth of the industry. Inventory levels, business profits, and the number of employees have all increased, indicating a recovery in market demand. With rising demand and the approach of the Double Eleven shopping festival, the future outlook for warehousing services is generally optimistic.
At the beginning of 2025, the global tanker market faces uncertainty, with marked divergence in the performance of crude and product oil tanker stocks. Product oil tankers are pressured by an increase in new vessel deliveries and a slowdown in demand growth, while crude oil tankers show a more positive outlook due to recovering demand and turbulence in the international market.
With the surge in demand for air cargo, the market is exhibiting unprecedented vitality. The rise of cross-border e-commerce and geopolitical conflicts have driven up air freight demand, yet capacity shortages pose significant challenges for the industry. Despite ongoing uncertainties, major airlines must adapt their strategies flexibly to respond to the changing market landscape, ensuring they remain competitive in the increasingly complex freight sector.
